as Popularity of Electric Vehicleswill the gas engine become an endangered species?
The short answer is no, or at least not for the next few decades. With so many gasoline engine cars on the road, aftermarket suppliers and local garages support internal combustion engine repairs.
Even so, your next new car could be an EV. You may be wondering, Now is the time to buy an electric car? Fiat Chrysler caused a stir among car enthusiasts in mid-August when it announced it would end production of its gas-powered Dodge Charger and Challenger by the end of 2023 and wanted to produce its electric muscle car, the Dodge Charger Daytona SRT Concept. GM announced last year that it plans to offer an all-electric fleet by 2035. And Ford, the last of the Big Three automakers, has pledged to get 40 percent of its global sales from electric vehicles by 2030.
Recent regulations in California also portend impending doom for the internal combustion engine. The California Air Resources Board approved a plan to reduce air pollution that requires 100 percent of new cars sold by 2035 to be zero-emission vehicles, including plug-in hybrids. The regulations will come into effect in stages, starting in 2026 for example with only 35 percent of new cars required to be considered zero-emission, increasing to 68 percent by 2030 and 100 percent by 2035. However, the key language of the CARB regulations is the phrase “including plug-in hybrids,” which means the internal combustion engine still has a way to go.
A plug-in hybrid has a battery and an electric motor, but it also has an internal combustion engine drivetrain. Once you drive past the vehicle’s electric range, say 30 miles, the gasoline engine kicks in. So even in California, and many other states likely to adopt their emissions rules, you could buy a brand new car in 2036 with an internal combustion engine.
Karl Brauer, executive analyst at iSeeCars.com, also mentioned the limitations of precious metals needed for batteries. “There simply isn’t enough lithium out there, which suggests we’re running out. It’s the same argument that oil is a finite resource,” he said. But breakthroughs in batteries are possible. Electric vehicle battery recycling can help meet lithium demand, as can better extraction methods, the World Economic Forum said. Scientists are also working on alternatives such as sodium-ion batteries.